Thursday, March 26, 2009

Prospects for the US Dollar

Before World War II, the developed countries were on the gold standard. For every dollar printed, there was a dollar's worth of gold in the vault. After World War II, under Bretton Woods, gold was notionally valued at $35 an ounce but the discipline of the gold standard was gone. America could now issue paper money as basically IOUs to the world, where each dollar could buy a dollar of gold. The gold didn't have to actually exist.

By 1971, thanks to the free spending of the Vietnam War and rising trade deficits, the credibility of the dollar came under threat.That year, Richard Nixon abolished the fixed price of gold. The US could now devalue the currency and expand money supply freely.

The US is now the world's biggest borrower. But this period of debt financed expansion and printing of money may have gone too far.That is why countries Like China, who are major investors in US T Bills have cautioned the US government to control the fiscal deficit. What a reversal. China actually advising US how to manage its economy!

1 comment:

Amrit said...

But what is the extent to which the Chinese can actually dictate policy?